Market Mechanics

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The Mechanics Behind the Index

Three Desks on the S&P 500. One Puts the Price Against Earnings. One Reads the Signal, Momentum and Backtests. The Third Is a Century of Calendar-Year Returns, with a Sandbox for Paths That Have Not Happened.

Desk 1

Earnings

Price against earnings. No return history.

Desk 2

Analysis

Signal, momentum and backtests.

Desk 3

Returns

Calendar-year price change since 1900. No earnings.

Growth of $10,000 · log scale · price onlySystemBuy & hold
Growth of $10,000 since Feb 1989, log scale: the system ended at $413,174, buy and hold at $268,068. Price only. Past result, not a forecast.

Growth of $10,000 since Feb 1989

54% more than buy & hold

Since Feb 1989

12 trades

Research only, not a forecast.

Data Updated Sundays at 6:00 PM ET

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